Dow Jones forecast for January The forecast for beginning of January Maximum value , while minimum Averaged index value for month Dow Jones - Year Historical Chart. Interactive chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stock market index for the last years. Historical data is inflation-adjusted using the headline CPI and each data point represents the month-end closing value.
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That was not bad. This is still not critical. We going to have new earning reports, new expectations will be published. We had the Bull market for 8 years and every year we see the projections and expectations growing. So, if everything goes like know, in we going to have heavily overpriced DJI stocks. The market is already heavily overbought. The investors are fully loaded. Investors are borrowing and buying. Corporations are borrowing and buying back stocks - see below the chart of the margin debt on the NYSE.
We have heavily overbought market, if we do not run into any decent correction, the market is risking to become heavily overpriced. However, it is still not enough for the market and DJI to crash.
We have low interest rates: If FED continue razing the interest rates as promised we going to have high rates by the end of and that is where the fun will began. In my view, we are going to see further pumping, however, as soon as rates are high and unprofitable corporation are not able to borrow to cover their operating costs we are going to have a crash, and it is going to be a crazy.
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However, it is still not enough for the market and DJI to crash. His superior track record and those of others using his methods argues that, regardless of our opinion of his methodology, we should heed the advice of his work.